Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.469019 3.683908 3.912655 4.175570 4.471056 4.794859 5.179270
2024-10-20 3.111670 3.388430 3.696745 4.069542 4.513533 5.032701 5.697178
2024-10-27 2.819079 3.126779 3.481386 3.927309 4.483833 5.171355 6.112735
2024-11-03 2.701999 3.054131 3.474579 4.026190 4.751770 5.708088 7.132905
2024-11-10 2.624453 3.019997 3.508638 4.177311 5.106134 6.420076 8.581891
2024-11-17 2.468215 2.874762 3.388858 4.113594 5.161247 6.726028 9.519816
2024-11-24 2.320218 2.728829 3.255437 4.016389 5.154553 6.938668 10.379987
2024-12-01 2.202953 2.614557 3.154588 3.953666 5.189667 7.225200 11.495489
2024-12-08 2.106099 2.520771 3.074005 3.911335 5.249721 7.567127 12.892568
2024-12-15 2.054064 2.483389 3.067842 3.977366 5.492787 8.296371 15.640807
2024-12-22 1.942683 2.358644 2.929734 3.829093 5.355042 8.264170 16.388674
2024-12-29 1.901518 2.328536 2.925090 3.888041 5.586076 9.044272 20.295473
2025-01-05 1.811775 2.233823 2.831713 3.816474 5.609965 9.480580 24.117782
2025-01-12 1.725960 2.140432 2.734662 3.730731 5.597798 9.850228 28.668517
2025-01-19 1.639213 2.041569 2.623557 3.612006 5.505908 10.007105 32.901454
2025-01-26 1.608842 2.022592 2.632851 3.700279 5.851515 11.521813 55.321389
2025-02-02 1.589551 2.018539 2.664817 3.832851 6.328689 13.826301 149.896147
2025-02-09 1.532949 1.955749 2.599031 3.779883 6.376693 14.736971 385.965460
2025-02-16 1.474881 1.888091 2.521366 3.697367 6.340400 15.329904 3076.830859
2025-02-23 1.426759 1.833453 2.461840 3.644133 6.368742 16.269902 NaN
2025-03-02 1.385338 1.787258 2.413556 3.608236 6.436333 17.511864 NaN
2025-03-09 1.363596 1.770331 2.412826 3.666182 6.769621 20.687781 NaN
2025-03-16 1.311043 1.703330 2.323973 3.537852 6.559548 20.343132 NaN